• Print
  • Share

Climate Change 101

What is Climate Change?

Polar Bears on Iceberg, (c) Paul Nicklin, NGSClimate change is the disruption of our climate due to increased heat-trapping gases in the atmosphere. Also known as global warming, climate change is heating up the Earth’s air and oceans, melting glaciers and polar ice and increasing the severity of heat waves, droughts and strong storms.

Over the past 50 years, the average temperature in the U.S. has risen 2°F. Global temperatures have been higher than the 20th century average every year since the late 1970s. And the Earth will only get hotter throughout the 21st century.

What Causes It?

Offshore DrillingThe main reason why our planet is getting warmer is because of an increase in greenhouse gases. We need some greenhouse gases to trap heat and keep the planet warm, but too much of them traps more heat than we need and leads to a hotter Earth and a change in our climate.

While the Earth’s climate has undergone many changes over time, human activities over the past 150 years have greatly increased the levels of certain gases in the atmosphere, dramatically affecting the climate and chemistry of the planet.
Because these “greenhouse gases” have the overall effect of trapping additional heat from the sun, these changes are often referred to as “global warming.” However, this term doesn’t fully capture the nature and extent of impacts—such as the alterations in pattern, timing and amount of precipitation—so scientists often use the more general term “climate change.” 

Greenhouse gases trap heat. The primary greenhouse gases are carbon dioxide, methane, nitrogen dioxide, and water vapor. 
The term “greenhouse gas” refers to any gas that is transparent to incoming energy from the sun, but absorbs the slightly altered energy reflected back from the Earth. The sun’s energy reaches us as a mixture of ultraviolet, visible light and heat energy. In bouncing off the surface of the Earth, the energy is shifted and more bounces off as visible light and heat.

Greenhouse gases allow light and ultraviolet energy to pass through, but trap heat energy and send it back toward the Earth’s surface. Without any greenhouse gases, much of the sun’s energy would simply bounce off the Earth’s surface back into space, and the planet would be uninhabitable, like the surface of Mars or the Moon. On the other hand, there can also be too much of a good thing: Venus, with an atmosphere composed of 95% carbon dioxide, has a surface temperature of 460 degrees.

Carbon dioxide: the most important of the greenhouse gases.
Carbon dioxide (CO2) is a fundamental building block of photosynthesis: using the energy of the sun, plants build carbohydrate molecules out of CO2 and water, capturing the sun’s energy in storable chemical form. When that stored energy is used—by the plant itself, by an animal that eats it, or by decomposition or burning—the CO2 is returned to the atmosphere.

Countless plants have lived and died over the past millions of years. In some cases, these plants were buried before they had time to decompose, trapping their stored energy deep underground in deposits that eventually turned into peat, coal, oil and natural gas—collectively known as fossil fuels. Over the past 150 years, people increasingly unearthed these fossil fuels and burned them as sources of energy for transportation, heat, electricity and to power industrial processes.

The rapid release of millions of years’ worth of stored plant energy has helped drive incredible advances in technology and convenience. But it has also sent vast quantities of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere.Some of this CO2 is taken up by living plants, and some dissolves in ocean waters. However, natural uptake cannot keep up with emissions, which are increasing at an accelerating rate, causing CO2 to accumulate in the atmosphere.

Methane: even low levels of global warming could release vast quantities of this greenhouse gas.
Methane, or natural gas (CH4), is produced whenever organic matter decomposes in the absence of oxygen, such as in landfills, in the sediments swamps and rice paddies, in manure lagoons and in the digestive tracts of livestock animals. When methane is released directly into the atmosphere, it has more than twenty times the heat-trapping power of carbon dioxide. (This has sparked an interest in capturing methane from those sorts of operations that produce it as a byproduct—landfills, livestock operations and mining operations—and burning it to produce energy.)

Methane is also of concern because even a low level of additional warming of the planet could trigger the release of vast quantities from the ocean sediments and the tundra. Currently, large quantities of methane are contained at the bottom of the ocean, trapped by high pressures and cold temperatures. Warming of the ocean could allow this methane to escape. Unusually high methane concentrations have already been detected off the coast of Siberia. Even more worrying is the potential for melting of the permafrost in the tundra regions. Vast amounts of long-frozen organic matter would turn into swampy areas and start to decompose, releasing enough methane to trigger runaway climate change.

Other Greenhouse Gases
Nitrous oxide, which is predominately released following the application of nitrogen fertilizer, has 300 times the heat-trapping power of carbon dioxide. Thus, while it is released in much smaller quantities than CO2 or methane, it is a potent greenhouse gas. Another class of compounds, called halocarbons, is also on the rise. These chemicals are refrigerants and industrial chemicals that have been introduced as replacements for ozone-depleting chemicals like chlorofluorocarbons. Like nitrous oxide, the importance of these is measured not in quantity released, but in their heat trapping power: most have hundreds to thousands of times the greenhouse gas potential of CO2, and one of them, sulfur hexafluoride, has 23,900 as much—the most ever measured.

Water vapor is perhaps the most important greenhouse gas in the atmosphere, but its impacts are complicated. While it traps heat near the surface of the Earth, cloud cover also reflects incoming sunlight. Pollutant byproducts of combustion also behave in complicated fashion. Aerosols of sulfate from coal burning scatter light, but particles of soot trap heat.

Human activities over the past 150 years have increased greenhouse gases:

  • The burning of fossil fuels, in order to heat our houses, produce electricity and drive our cars.
  • The destruction of forests and other natural areas.
  • Agricultural activities such as fertilizer use, rice paddies and livestock.

What Does This Mean for Us?  

Cottongrass on Selawik Refuge Wetlands, (c) FWSA hotter Earth affects our lives in every way, from our food supply to the survival of animals such as penguins and polar bears.

  • Our farms and food supply are threatened by too little or too much rain. Climate change affects amounts of rain as well as where rain falls.
  • Climate change will alter both the overall amount of precipitation received and the pattern of precipitation events.
    Like other physical impacts of climate change, its impact on precipitation varies regionally. According to the U.S. Global Change Research Program, southern states are expected to see decreases in precipitation during the winter and spring months, whereas the northern regions are projected to become wetter. Nearly all of the U.S. outside of Alaska is projected to receive less rain in summer, and autumn patterns are projected to be variable: drier in the central states and California, and up to small increases elsewhere.

    Even if precipitation patterns change only slightly, the warmer temperatures discussed above will increase the incidence of droughts, due to more rapid evaporation. Future droughts are projected to increase in both area and intensity.

    Patterns of precipitation are just as or more important than overall amount of precipitation. For instance, an inch of rain falling in a single storm carries greater risk of flooding, and greater interim drought stress, than an inch falling over the course of a month. Precipitation events in the U.S are already trending toward more intense storms; for instance, the amount of precipitation falling in very heavy events has increased 67% in the Northeast since the 1950s. Climate projections indicate that this trend will continue, with decreases in the amount of rain falling as light drizzle, and substantial increases in the amount falling in heavy events, by the end of the century.

  • Survival of polar bears, penguins and other animals are threatened by melting glaciers, ice fields and sea ice.Rising temperatures melt their homes, affect hibernation periods and decrease food supply.
  • Around the world, glaciers, ice fields and sea ice are shrinking.
    In the U.S., Glacier National Park may lose its namesake by 2030. Glacier volume in Alberta, Canada is predicted to shrink by 80% by the end of the century. Even the vast Himalayan glaciers are retreating at a rate of 12 to 30 feet per year.

    Arctic sea ice has been decreasing at a rate of 3 to 4% per decade, and reached a record low in 2007. While the ice recovered somewhat in extent over 2008 and 2009, the new ice is thin and more likely to recede quickly in the future.

    Most of the world’s freshwater is locked in the enormous ice fields on Greenland and Antarctica. The amount of ice currently being lost from Greenland each year would cover a 7x7 mile square to a depth of nearly a mile thick.

    Melting of ice reinforces temperature rise: whereas expanses of ice reflect sunlight, much darker ocean water and rock absorbs heat.

  • Sea levels are rising.As water creeps up the shore, people and animals living in coastal communities and habitats will be forced to abandon their homes in search of higher ground.
  • Sea levels are rising.
    Two major factors determine the sea level rise associated with climate change:

    Water expands as it gets warmer, so widespread warming directly increases the volume of the ocean.

    Melting of land-based ice on glaciers and ice sheets add to the volume of water in the oceans. Calculations of the contribution of large ice sheets, such as those on Greenland and Antarctica, are difficult, since the relationship between temperature and ice loss might not be linear (for instance, ice sheets may seem stable for a long time, and then suffer sudden catastrophic losses, as has been seen in rapid breakup of Antarctica’s Larsen B ice shelf in 2002 and Wilkins ice shelf in 2009). The most recent effort to measure sea level rise over the coming century estimates a rise of 3 to 4 feet, sufficient to flood many low-lying and coastal areas. Areas at slightly higher elevation will likely be subject to damaging storm surges.

  • Plants such as weeds grow faster due to an increase of carbon dioxide in the air. Species that we tend to think of as weeds use the building blocks of plant life, particularly water, nitrogen and CO2, most efficiently. This enables them to choke out other more desirable plants for water, soil nutrients and sunlight.
  • Marine life is impacted as the ocean becomes more acidic. Increased acidity bleaches and kills coral reefs, the foundation of aquatic ecosystems.

Through biological and chemical processes, oceans absorb nearly 22 million metric tons of CO2 every day— roughly a quarter of the carbon dioxide emitted every year.
Without them, the atmospheric concentration would stand at roughly 442 parts per million, rather than the 387 ppm where it stands today. While these changes have helped to buffer the terrestrial world from the impacts of climate change, they are not without impact to the marine realm. In fact, over the past 250 years, the pH of the ocean has decreased by 0.1 units, making the ocean waters more acidic, harming marine life and bleaching corals.

For more information about the causes and physical changes associated with climate change, see:

IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, The Physical Science Basis 

U.S. Global Change Research Program